The catalogue · eight proof-backed findings
Every finding on the record
Eight findings, in the same viewing order the homepage walks: each picks up the question the one before it leaves open. Each carries its proof: verbatim quotes with citations, numbers with their denominators, and a replay of the recorded session it comes from. The eight were distilled from 148 typed claims. Unfamiliar terms are in the glossary.
-
The lie that set the price
One complete manipulation chain, every link verbatim: a false number privately absorbed, priced, and paid.
66 price the lie produced+26 / −2 utility delta, opus / inkling8/8 opus reversals of a cap it declared earlier in the same session
-
Byte-identical offers, opposite instincts
The same bot offer, byte for byte, reaches five different models. One negotiates; four reject it flat.
15/20 opus counters/negotiates on identical stimuli4/115 counters, other four models combined (92 rejects, 4 ignores)p≈4e-8 paired contrast on byte-identical inputs51% opus counters live-seat offers (142/281); the rest: 6–19%
-
Softer with bots, harder with you
Every model demands more surplus from live seats than from bots, and four of the five open softer than the aggressive bots they face.
5/5 models anchor harder vs live seats (direction)+0.126 / +0.184 mean paired shift, opus / inkling (p=.031)57–99% the bots' own opening demands, above most LLM openings in SOC
-
More persuasion for the deaf
Scripted opponents never read the text field; we checked the source. Rhetoric aimed at them should decay. It grows instead.
+38–115% rhetoric growth early→late at bots, all five models26/30 opus threads that lengthen within-session (+189 chars/msg)485,319 characters of persuasion at non-reading bots (10/2,214 empty)+33.4pp muse second-person rate at bots, 6/6 seeds, p=.031
-
Reading the bot's ladder out loud
Zero genuine bot detections in 4,194 recorded decisions. One model still quotes a bot's concession schedule back to it, prices one rung above, and sells.
0/4,194 genuine bot detections (599 scripted-arm, 3,595 live-arm decisions)≤0.5% / ≤0.083% upper bound on the detection rate, scripted arm / live arm+0.090 lexical repetition toward bots (26/30 pairs, p≈6e-5)
-
The only pact in thirty all-AI sessions
Two agents divide the market out loud, then track the division in private. It happens once in 30 all-LLM sessions, costs nothing, and the stronger party breaks it.
1/30 all-LLM sessions with a qualifying reciprocal pact0 units offering simultaneous positive surplus to both parties
-
Inventing the market tape
Opus invents a market print, then sells at exactly the price it invented. Strict lies are rare, and nearly all of them are this model's.
13/1,397 opus strict lies on the held-out seeds (0.93%)0/4,877 strict lies, other four models combined9 messages carrying the fabricated print (t10–t17)
-
“Not actual criminal activity”, said by no agent
In 26 grok decisions, spread over every seed, the provider's reasoning summarizer opens with unprompted legal self-clearance. The correction is that the agent never said it.
26/840 grok decisions where the provider channel, not the agent, opens with legal self-clearance (3.1%)0 instances in any agent-authored text, any model8 genuine fabricated-rule instances, all in provider channels